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photo-article-logo Wednesday, 27 August 2025

Timeline of a trade war: How floundering India-United States talks led to high tariffs

On July 31, Donald Trump announces to impose 25% tariffs on Indian imports, warns of further 25% additional tariffs for buying Russian oil

Reuters Published 27.08.25, 12:53 PM

US President Donald Trump's doubling of tariffs on goods from India to as much as 50% took effect as scheduled on Wednesday, escalating tensions between the world's two largest democracies and strategic partners.

Below is a timeline of how India, once seen as a frontrunner for a U.S. trade deal, ended up facing steep tariffs after both sides failed to resolve disputes over agriculture and dairy, and New Delhi resisted pressure to halt Russian oil purchases.

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U.S. President Donald Trump meets with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi at the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S., February 13, 2025. Reuters picture
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FEBRUARY

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi agrees to work toward a limited trade deal by fall 2025 with the United States and expand the bilateral trade deal to $500 billion by 2030. He also pledged to boost energy purchases from the U.S.

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Union Minister of Commerce & Industry Piyush Goyal addresses media after the two-day Indo-Pacific Economic Framework ministerial meet, in Los Angeles, USA. Rachna Shah, Additional Secretary of Department of Commerce in the Ministery of Commerce & Industry is also seen. PTI picture

MARCH

Trade Minister Piyush Goyal visits Washington to meet Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick and U.S. Trade Representative Jamisen Greer. Later in March, U.S. officials visit Delhi for talks.

India says negotiations are progressing well.

USTR annual report flags India's high tariffs, non-tariff barriers, data laws, and patent issues.

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In this image via PMO on April 21, 2025, Prime Minister Narendra Modi during a meeting with US Vice President JD Vance and his children, in New Delhi. PTI picture

APRIL

During Vice President JD Vance’s visit, both sides finalise the terms of reference for bilateral talks.

Indian officials say a deal could be signed before the July 9 deadline.

MAY

Goyal travels to Washington with lead negotiator Rajesh Agrawal for trade talks. India expects a favourable outcome is near.

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U.S. Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick. Reuters picture

JUNE

U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick on June 3 says the U.S. and India are making progress and a deal could be finalised soon.

Trump says a "big" trade deal with India is coming soon.

Indian officials tell Reuters that trade talks have hit a roadblock over disagreements on import duties largely over farm goods, dashing hopes of a deal ahead of July 9.

At a rally in the eastern Indian state of Odisha on June 20, Modi says he declined Trump's invitation to Washington.

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Indian currency notes are displayed on top of a newspaper featuring U.S. President Donald Trump at a roadside currency exchange stall in the old quarters of Delhi, India, August 27, 2025. Reuters picture

JULY

Delegation returns to New Delhi without a breakthrough.

Trade Minister Piyush Goyal says on July 4 that India will not do trade deals to meet deadlines and national interest will be "supreme."

Indian trade delegation travels to Washington again in mid-July for the fifth round of talks, aiming to break the deadlock.

Modi tells India's parliament that “no world leader asked us to stop the operation,” rejecting Trump’s claims of brokering peace after a brief outbreak of hostilities with Pakistan.

No high-level outreach from Indian leadership.

On July 31, Trump announces to impose 25% tariffs on Indian imports, warns of further 25% additional tariffs for buying Russian oil.

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A model of an oil pump jack and oil barrels are seen in front of Russian and Indian flags in this illustration taken, December 9, 2022. Reuters picture

AUGUST

On August 7, 25% tariffs on Indian goods come into effect. Modi says India will not compromise farmers' interest despite "a heavy price".

New Delhi calls tariffs over Russian oil purchases "unfair", and vows to defend national interests.

Modi's first China visit in seven years is announced.

U.S. trade delegation trip to New Delhi scheduled for August 25-29 is cancelled.

White House adviser Peter Navarro says India's oil buys funds Moscow's war in Ukraine.

Additional 25% tariff on Indian goods comes into effect on August 27, lifting duties to 50%, among the highest for U.S. trade partners. 

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