US President Donald Trump appears to be determined to reach a deal with Tehran aimed at ending hostilities in the Middle East, three senior Israeli officials said on Tuesday, even as Iran's parliament speaker, Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf, denied there have been talks with Washington amid reports that he was floated as America’s negotiating partner in talks.
The Israeli officials, speaking to Reuters on condition of anonymity, said that in their view it was unlikely that Iran would agree to US demands in any new round of negotiations, which broke down on February 28 with the launch of the US-Israeli war on Iran.
Those US demands were likely to include curbs on Iran's nuclear and ballistic missile programmes.
Among major US news publications, The Wall Street Journal highlighted Trump’s praise for "reasonable" Iranian leaders while The New York Times cited four Iranian officials and a diplomat to report that the two nations have been exchanging messages through intermediaries to avert strikes on energy infrastructure.
Trump wrote on social media on Monday that the US and Iran had held "very good and productive" conversations about a "complete and total resolution of hostilities in the Middle East".
Iran said after Trump's post that no negotiations had taken place.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on Monday that Trump believed there was a possibility of "leveraging the mighty achievements obtained by the IDF [Israel Defence Forces] and the US military, in order to realise the goals of the war in a deal – a deal that will preserve our vital interests."
Iran's Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf is Trump card?
Long before he became Iran's parliament speaker, Qalibaf went on a charm offensive for almost two decades, portraying himself as a hard-liner the West could do business with in the Islamic Republic.
"I would like the West to change its attitude to Iran and trust Iran, and rest assured that there's an attitude in Iran to advance issues through dialogue," he told The Times newspaper of London in 2008.
With the US and Israel's war with Iran in its fourth week, the 64-year-old pilot and former Revolutionary Guard commander has denied there have been talks with the US amid reports that he was floated as Washington's negotiating partner in talks.
Questions also remain as to what power Qalibaf has within Iran's theocracy, shattered after the February 28 Israeli airstrike that killed 86-year-old Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
Khamenei's son, Mojtaba, now Iran's new supreme leader, has backed Qalibaf through his repeated and failed presidential campaigns.
Still, multiple centres of power within Iran's theocracy now likely vie for control of the Islamic Republic – and uncertainties remain over Mojtaba Khamenei's status as he has yet to be seen after reportedly being wounded.
Qalibaf has been tied to the crackdown against protesters calling for change within Iran's government and has seen corruption allegations swirl around him during his time in office.
Trump may just be looking for an Iranian version of Venezuela's acting President Delcy Rodríguez, who took over as the US military seized former Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro in January.
"Many Iranians despise Ghalibaf; diplomats see him as pragmatic," wrote analyst Michael Rubin, using a different transliteration for the politician's last name.
"Those diplomats confuse pragmatism with opportunism. Qalibaf is a survivor. He sees in Trump someone who can help him achieve what late Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei denied him: the presidency or some equivalent interim leadership role."
Iran's semiofficial Tasnim news agency, believed close to the Guard, on Tuesday described reports in Western media as a "political bomb" meant to put the country's leaders in disarray.
"Qalibaf was introduced as a negotiating party in order to present a contradictory and non-unified image of Iran," Tasnim said. "The mention of Qalibaf's name was clearly intended to create internal divisions within Iran and to provoke conflict among political forces."
Qalibaf's rise within Iran's theocracy
Qalibaf was born in the city of Torqabeh in Iran's northeastern Razavi Khorasan province to a father who was a shopkeeper, not a member of the Shiite clergy that seized power in the 1979 Islamic Revolution.
Like many young men of his generation, he joined the paramilitary Guard during the country's bloody 1980s war with Iraq, quickly rising through the ranks. After the conflict, he served as the head of the Guard's construction arm, Khatam al-Anbia, for several years, leading efforts to rebuild.
Trained as a pilot, he then served as the head of the Guard's air force. In 1999, he co-signed a letter to reformist President Mohammad Khatami amid student protests in Tehran over the government closing a reformist newspaper and a subsequent security force crackdown. The letter warned Khatami that the Guard would take action unilaterally unless he agreed to put down the demonstrations.
Violence around the protests, the first in a string of widening demonstrations over the last few decades, saw several people killed, hundreds wounded, and thousands arrested.
Qalibaf then became the head of Iran's police, modernising the force and implementing the country's 110 emergency phone number.
However, a leaked recording of a later meeting between Qalibaf and members of the Guard's volunteer Basij force had him claiming that he ordered gunfire to be used against demonstrators in 2003 and praising the violence used in Iran's 2009 Green Movement protests.
Iran's then-President Hassan Rouhani hinted at the 2003 incident when the two sparred in a 2017 presidential election debate.
"There was an argument that you were saying that the students should come, then we can pincer attack them and finish the job," Rouhani said at the time.
Qalibaf positioned as alternative to Ahmadinejad
As Tehran's mayor from 2005 to 2017, Qalibaf faced corruption allegations, including over some $3.5 million being donated to a foundation run by his wife.
However, he also used his prominence to travel to the World Economic Forum and even praised New York City in an interview with The Financial Times, undoubtedly raising eyebrows among other hard-liners.
His opponents claimed Qalibaf was like Reza Pahlavi, a hard-charging soldier who became shah in 1925 and rapidly pushed to Westernise Persia and rename it Iran before handing power to his son Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi.
Qalibaf didn't outright reject the comparison.
"If authoritarianism means when collective sense reaches a plan and decision, I'm very determined and firm in carrying it out," Qalibaf told FT in 2008, casting himself as an alternative to the hard-line President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.
"When the expediency of the society is in carrying a project, then I'm very firm and show little flexibility and don't let that collective sense be marred or disarrayed."
Qalibaf ran in presidential elections in 2005, 2013, 2017 and 2024, but despite the failures of those campaigns, US diplomats suggested he enjoyed the support of Mojtaba Khamenei, according to diplomatic cables published by WikiLeaks.
"Mojtaba reportedly has long maintained a very close relationship with Tehran Mayor and presidential hopeful Mohammad Baqr Qalibaf; Mojtaba was reportedly the backbone of Qalibaf's past and continuing election campaigns," an August 2008 cable read.
"Mojtaba is said to help Qalibaf as an advisor, financier, and provider of senior-level political support. His support for and closeness to Qalibaf reportedly remains undiminished."
With Khamenei now Iran's new supreme leader, Qalibaf's position may be significantly boosted.
Qalibaf's name floated as a possible negotiator
Trump pulled back from a 48-hour deadline for Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz; media reports suggested that Qalibaf may be a possible Iranian contact for the US government. Qalibaf himself has denied that any talks are ongoing.
"No negotiations have been held with the US, and fake news is used to manipulate the financial and oil markets and escape the quagmire in which the US and Israel are trapped," he wrote Monday on X.
Surprisingly, unlike many officials within Iran's government, Qalibaf's name is not on any US bounty.
It remains unclear whether the Israelis view Qalibaf as a target. As parliament speaker, Qalibaf praised the October 7, 2023, Hamas attack on Israel, saying that it showed the "Zionist regime will never have peace until the day it is annihilated."
Trump, as well, apparently appeared concerned Monday that his unnamed negotiating partner could jeopardise the safety of any talks.
Asked why he wouldn't name the Iranian negotiator, Trump told journalists: "Because I don't want them to be killed, OK? I don't want them to be killed."
Among other machinations, Pakistan is positioning itself as the lead mediator trying to broker an end to war against Iran, Financial Times reported on Monday. The Wall Street Journal reported a pre-dawn meeting in Riyadh with Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and Turkey all getting into the negotiations ring.