Last-minute Puja shoppers may consider adding a brolly or two to their buy-buy list.
The Patna Meteorological Office on Monday predicted thundershowers for another two days along with the prospect of a longer wet spell if the cyclonic circulation and low-pressure trough in the making intensified.
“It is difficult to say for sure what will happen during Durga Puja, which begins from Thursday. Our current readings suggest that rain will occur in parts of the state owing to atmospheric circulations and formation of local clouds,” said Patna weather analyst B.N. Chaudhury.
He explained that the monsoon was still active in Jharkhand and would result in widespread rain. So, it is guaranteed that the rain god is determined to overstay his welcome. “The only consolation for revellers is that the showers may be intermittent, not lasting for long hours at a stretch,” Chaudhury added.
Under the influence of cyclonic circulations and an active monsoon current, several parts of the state, including Ranchi, Jamshedpur, Giridih, Simdega, Ramgarh, Lohardaga and Palamau witnessed moderate to heavy rain (see chart) in the past 24 hours.
In fact, weathermen ruled out the possibility of withdrawal of monsoon from Jharkhand before October 15.
“The southwest line is passing through Hisar, Jodhpur and Nelia. Jharkhand will witness an extended monsoon,” Chaudhury said.
According to him, a low-pressure area is building over the Bay of Bengal, while a cyclonic circulation over north Madhya Pradesh is extending upto 3.1km above the sea level. “But, we will get a clearer satellite picture about rainfall activity in the next 4-5 days tomorrow (Tuesday),” he said.
While revellers may sulk, the rain bounty is a boon for a drought-prone Jharkhand. The state has received 93.8mm of rain in the first week of October against a normal of 32.8mm, a surplus of 186 per cent.
While Ramgarh tops the October chart with 247.6mm, Ranchi follows with 208mm. Jamshedpur, which notched a surplus of 19 per cent till September, has registered 60mm so far this month.
Statistics reveal that Gumla, Lohardaga and Daltonganj too have soaked in an impressive over-140mm rainfall in the first seven days.
Going by the book, rain after September 30 isn’t part of monsoon calculations in India even though the trough does not leave the entire country by then. But, this has been an unusual season. There was barely any rainfall in June, July and early-August. But after August 15, the pour frequency increased. September saw a turnaround in terms of rain deficit and the trend has continued in October.
While June and July recorded around 40 per cent loss, the shortfall in August stood at 28 per cent. September ended on a 23 per cent deficit note. Under Met rules, deficit up to 20 per cent is “normal”.
With just three days to go before Puja, tent houses are hiring extra hands to complete pandals on time.
Let’s keep fingers crossed.