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So relentless has been Roger Federers
reworking of the record books that he might as well travel
with a personal statistician. And should he lift the Coupes
des Mousquetaires for the first time by beating two-time
defending champion Rafael Nadal in Sundays French
Open final, it would seal his place as the greatest racket-swinger
of all time.
The 25-year-old has 10 Grand Slam
titles from his three trophies at the Australian Open, his
four at Wimbledon, and his three at the US Open. But the
one thing which has been missing from his CV has been a
victory on the red clay of Roland Garros, leading some commentators
to qualify their praise for the world No 1. Beating the
brutish, brilliant Nadal would prove that Federer can win
on all surfaces, making those ifs, buts and maybes disappear
like puffs of baseline dust.
Nadal is just one victory away
from a hattrick of titles at Roland Garros, a feat only
Swede Bjorn Borg has previously achieved during the Open
era. But it would be colossal if Federer, last years
runner-up to Nadal, became the new King of Clay, especially
as that would also make him only the third man in history
to hold all four Grand Slam titles at the same time, following
on from American Don Budge in 1938 and Australian Rod Laver
in 1962 and 1969.
And such a non-calendar Roger
Slam would mean that a proper calendar Grand Slam
would most definitely be on, as Federer would be the favourite
to triumph once more at Wimbledon and then at the US Open.
Winning here would open the door to doing the Grand
Slam, winning the four titles in one year, Federer
said after Fridays 7-5, 7-6, 7-6 victory against Russian
Nikolay Davydenko, which took him into an eighth successive
Grand Slam final, yet another record.
Nadals 7-5, 6-4, 6-2 win
over Serbian Novak Djokovic took him to 20 victories from
20 matches at the clay-court slam. He is yet to drop a set
during this tournament, while Federer conceded one during
his quarter-final victory over Spaniard Tommy Robredo.
Federer is under no illusions
about the challenge that he will face in trying to get the
better of Nadal, a man whom Serena Williams rightly described
as an animal on the slowest and the most demanding
of all the surfaces.
So Sunday will see the classical
tennis player versus the clay-court animal,
and Federer will need to perform substantially better than
he did during his untidy match against Davydenko, when he
had to recover from a deficit in all three sets. Davydenko
served for the second set, and also served for the third,
in which he held three set points.
As Borg has pointed out, matches
between Federer and Nadal always have the feel of a
big fight, but there could hardly be more riding on
this one.
Here is why Federer needs that
stats man at his side. There is a famous quintet of men
to have won all four majors, comprising Britains Fred
Perry, Budge, Laver, Australian Roy Emerson and American
Andre Agassi. So Federer could become the sixth, and would
then move to joint third with Laver and Borg in the list
of most Grand Slam titles won, with Emerson in second on
12 and Pete Sampras — who never won in Paris — on a record
14.
Of course, this is the second
year in succession that Federer has reached the French Open
final with the possibility of holding all four slams simultaneously.
Last year, Federer had just the start he wanted in the final,
taking the opening set 6-1 and dominating Nadal, but thereafter
he was well below par and was beaten over four sets.
So what has changed in 12 months?
Well, Federer finally scored a clay-court win over Nadal
in last months Hamburg final, attacking more than
he ever had against the Majorcan for his first success in
six meetings on the dirt. That ended Nadals clay-court
winning streak of 81 matches, and, for Federer, it felt
like a breakthrough.
And yet the relevance of that
result has been much debated. For all the encouragement
that Federer received from that victory, Nadal was mentally
fatigued and far from his best. Also, the deadened bounce
in Hamburg helped Federer, while the livelier Roland Garros
clay suits Nadal. Plus, that match was over three sets.
This will be over five. Will Nadal stop history in its tracks
on Sunday?
ROAD TO FINAL
Roger Federer (1,
Sui)
- Round I — bt Michael Russell (US) 6-4, 6-2,6-4
- Round II — bt Thierry Ascione (Fra) 6-1, 6-2,7-6
(8)
- Round III — bt Potito Starace (Ita) 6-2, 6-3,
6-0
- Round IV — bt Mikhail Youzhny (13, Rus) 7-6 (3),
6-4, 6-4
- Quarter final — bt Tommy Robredo (9, Esp) 7-5,
1-6, 6-1, 6-2
- Semi-final — bt Nikolay Davydenko (4, Rus) 7-5,
7-6 (5), 7-6 (7)
Rafael Nadal (2, Esp)
- Round I — bt Juan Martin del Potro (Arg) 7-5,6-3,
6-2
- Round II — bt Flavio Cipolla (Ita) 6-2, 6-1, 6-4
- Round III — bt Albert Montenes (Esp) 6-1, 6-3,
6-2
- Round IV — bt Lleyton Hewitt (14, Aus) 6-3, 6-1,7-6
(5)
- Quarter final — bt Carlos Moya (23, Esp) 6-4,6-3,
6-0
- Semi-final — bt Novak Djokovic (6, Srb) 7-5,6-4,
6-2
Head to Head
- 2004 Miami (hardcourt) — Nadal won 6-3, 6-3
- 2005 Miami (hardcourt) — Federer won 2-6,6-7,
7-6, 6-3, 6-1
- 2005 French Open (clay) — Nadal won 6-3, 4-6,
6-4, 6-3
- 2006 Dubai (hardcourt) — Nadal won 2-6,6-4, 6-4
- 2006 Monte Carlo (clay) — Nadal won 6-2, 6-7,
6-3, 7-6
- 2006 Rome (clay) — Nadal won 6-7, 7-6,6-4, 2-6,
7-6
- 2006 French Open (clay) — Nadal won 1-6, 6-1,6-4,
7-6
- 2006 Wimbledon (grass) — Federer won 6-0,7-6,
6-7, 6-3
- 2006 Shanghai (hardcourt) — Federer won 6-4, 7-5
- 2007 Monte Carlo (clay) — Nadal won 6-4, 6-4
- 2007 Hamburg (clay) — Federer won 2-6,6-2, 6-0
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