|
The prime minister, in his annual
sermon to the Confederation of Indian Industry, handed out
ten commandments to industrialists. Industrialists are polite
even when they are not obsequious, so they will not rebut
him. But he should be answered.
The state makes money without
having to earn it; it takes money away from people by force.
It is difficult for anyone to live on unearned income unless
he can reassure himself that he is doing some good unrelated
to his take. Monarchs used to harbour illusions that the
kingdom was bestowed on them by heaven. Conquerors and occupiers
by force believe that they have saved their territories
from worse rulers. Pervez Musharraf illustrates this illusion
well. Elected rulers forget how accidental the results of
most elections are. They like to believe that they are specially
beloved of, and morally obliged to promote the interests
of, the people who elected them; in a competitive system
they also want to shower favours on people at others’ cost
who they hope would elect them next time. The combination
of power and illusion has led rulers unduly and unnecessarily
to interfere in the lives of people, most often with good
intentions. In his 40-year career, the prime minister has
risen from the ranks to the top of the men and women who
rule India. On the way, he picked up the ruler’s disease.
The prime minister preached: “The time has come for the
better-off sections of our society — not just in organized
industry but in all walks of life — to understand the need
to make our growth process more inclusive; to eschew conspicuous
consumption; to save more and waste less; to care for those
who are less privileged and less well off; to be role models
of probity, moderation and charity.”
As others fall in love with beautiful
women, the prime minister falls in love with beautiful phrases.
For some years his favourite phrase was “development with
a human face”; then he changed over to “inclusive growth”.
These are only the latest euphemisms for income redistribution.
Politicians across the world love redistribution. It serves
their interests, for the poor are more numerous and have
more votes than the rich.
Let us assume that redistribution
is good. What behavioural rule does that belief enjoin?
If being rich is reprehensible, then everyone should stay
poor. If all believe and practise this, a society will remain
poor. But that would not suit the prime minister, for he
thinks poverty is a curse. Such a belief would give rise
to the behavioural rule that everyone should receive the
same income (adjusted for age, family size and personal
needs) regardless of merit. In other words, the prime minister
should be a communist: he should believe in the rule, “From
each according to ability, to each according to need.” But
that also does not suit him. After being witness to the
self-destruction of the Soviet Union, one has to be an extreme
idealist, not to say unrealist, to believe in compulsory
equality.
And then, having once been a brilliant
economist, the prime minister remembers the importance of
incentives: he must believe that the lure of riches drives
people to greater enterprise and effort. So he has come
to the Gandhian view that the rich should work their asses
off to get richer, but must not flaunt their riches, and
should give away much of it to the poor. Would that be better
than if they saved and invested in new productive facilities?
Manmohan Singh has read Keynes closely, but he has got him
wrong. Victorian businessmen lived modestly, not so much
because they believed in modest living, but because the
profits of reinvesting their savings were too tempting.
“The new rich of the 19th century…preferred the power which
investment gave them to the pleasures of immediate consumption.”
Are the Indian rich of today any
different? Do they indulge in conspicuous consumption? The
prime minister held his economic policies responsible for
the fact that the savings ratio had risen from 32 to 35
per cent. That is an awful lot of savings, whether in historical
or in internationally comparative terms; and those savings
are mostly of those whom the prime minister would consider
rich. They save so much for the same reason as their Victorian
counterparts — that they face irresistible opportunities
of profit.
This is not to deny the signs
of conspicuous consumption at which the prime minister raised
his eyebrow — clogged airports, new holiday destinations,
the real estate boom. But he mistakes changing patterns
of consumption for conspicuous consumption. Earlier, people
used to take a train to a holiday destination; the trains
were as packed then as planes now. Now that the monopoly
of Indian Airlines is broken, air fares have plummeted,
and airlines have clogged airports — because the government
has under-invested in airports. People are going abroad
on holidays now because of relaxation of exchange control.
If they went earlier to Kerala, they go now to Malaysia
— because Malaysia is cheaper. Since India’s population
is growing so fast, houses are bound to be constructed.
Once they would have been extra floors on urban houses;
now they are high-rise housing estates because the technology
involved has been imported. The prime minister sees conspicuous
consumption because he disapproves of what he sees. When
I think of conspicuous consumption, I think of whoring,
drinking, fast cars. I see little of it in India.
And most of those consumers he
frowns on are yuppies — the new working class, not the old
moneybags. For the boom has created a labour shortage for
the first time in India’s history — not everywhere, but
fairly widespread. For the first time again, kids in their
twenties earn more than wise old men like the prime minister.
Still, if the prime minister is
worried that the poor will riot in a fit of jealousy and
start killing the rich, his fear must be taken seriously.
After all, he is in a position of power where he comes to
know all sorts of things that we would not. I do see a rise
in unrest and violence in the country. But I do not see
how they are related to the rich and the poor. If Akalis
attack Sacha Saudagars, if the government of West Bengal
kills people in Nandigram, if the Bajrang Dal hounds Muslims,
that is not class conflict. If there is any pattern in these
events at all, it is the cowardice of Indian governments
against collective violence.
Finally, let me come to the prime
minister’s admonition to industry to become socially responsible.
It should certainly try its hand at it, but only on the
condition that the government gets out of the way. The government
spends enormous amounts on health, education, environment,
employment and so on. These are traditional areas in which
it has spent an enormous amount since independence; and
it has little to show for it. It should hand over the money
it spends on these programmes to the private sector under
conditional subsidy or incentive programmes; it will see
the difference in a short time. But if it does so, what
will the bureaucrats and politicians fatten themselves on? |