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He appears both composed and confident.
I ask him if he has had any meeting with Sonia Gandhi. He
appears amused by the question. Anybody in his position,
I argued, would shake hands with the enemy’s enemy. If he
wanted to combat the NDA, what is the harm in joining hands
with the UPA?
But Babulal Marandi remains unmoved.
He can break bread with neither the BJP nor the Congress,
he declares once again. In both the national parties, he
explains, he would be expected to keep Ahmed Patels and
Sanjay Joshis in good humour. “I simply cannot do it,” he
added firmly.
I find it difficult to believe
that he has made no attempt to get the support of the Congress
against the BJP. Surely BJP will pull out all the stops
to ensure that he loses at Koderma next month ? BJP would
in fact welcome any other candidate than Marandi regain
the seat, even if that means a loss to BJP’s own candidate.
The Congress cannot boast of a single leader in Jharkhand
with a mass base beyond his individual constituency and
if Marandi joins the party or if his Jharkhand Vikas Morcha
becomes a part of the United Progressive Alliance, it would
surely strengthen the alliance ?
But neither Babulal nor leaders
in the UPA buy the logic. Babulal is more forthright. National
parties, he maintains, cannot do much good to the small
state because they will always be guided by compulsions
of national politics. Leaders in the state will always play
second fiddle and what is important for the state will receive
little attention or priority in New Delhi. What’s more,
he reasons, Jharkhand is too small a state to provide space
for both the national parties. One of the two, he is convinced,
will finally crumble. But he wouldn’t hazard a guess about
which one.
The small state, similarly, can
afford to have one strong, regional party but not half a
dozen small outfits. “Therefore, either Jharkhand Mukti
Morcha will emerge as a strong political force or, I hope,
Jharkhand Vikas Morcha will throw up an alternative,” he
says without mincing words. One of the two, he is certain
again, will have to give way to the other.
The reasons for the UPA not courting
Marandi are more complex. It is pointed out that Babulal,
till recently, has been with the “communal” BJP. But if
the Congress could accept Sanjay Nirupam from the equally
“communal” Shiva Sena, there is little reason for warding
off Marandi on this ground. Some UPA leaders point out that
Shibu Soren does not like Babulal and Guruji will never
allow him to join the UPA, ostensibly because he would then
block the chances of Soren’s two sons, both with political
ambitions. But it is doubtful if Durga and Hemant Soren
can match Marandi’s image, organising and administrative
skill, experience and understanding of the state. In politics,
moreover, there are no permanent friends or enemy –which
is why it appears unbelievable that no attempt has been
made to bring Soren and Marandi together.
But then Marandi gives the impression
of being his own Boss. He is unlikely to suffer fools gladly
or kowtow to every self-made leader in New Delhi.
And that is precisely why one
wonders if stands any chance of winning in Koderma next
month. Men like Marandi find little or no acceptance in
political parties and the next few weeks, it is going to
be a David versus Goliath battle. An individual pitted against
four established political groups. Babulal Marandi versus
the National Democratic Alliance, the United Progressive
Alliance, the All Jharkhand Students’ Union and the CPI(
ML).
Did anyone say it is an uneven
battle? Whatever it is, one must admire Babulal Marandi’s
courage in taking on the traditional political forces in
the state. By taking the bull by its horns, he has made
it a battle between status quo and change.
With every party gunning for him,
does he stand a chance? I, for one, hope he wins. Not just
because he is the underdog but because somebody must call
the bluff of the big brothers. With the BJP, Congress and
JMM, traditionally having cornered 70 to 80 per cent of
the valid votes in the past, and with caste and community
considerations allegedly being important, it is going to
be an uphill task for him. But if he wins, it will still
be a turning point and provide a fresh direction to politics
in the state.
Meanwhile, Lalu Prasad is having
the last laugh, thanks to the “jokers in Jharkhand”. Everybody,
starting from Shibu Soren to Madhu Koda, are bending backwards
to consult him. There is little doubt that he is the Boss
and clearly, he is enjoying calling the shots.
After having opposed the creation
of Jharkhand and declaring that it would be created over
his dead body, Lalu Prasad has found it convenient to run
the puppet show in Ranchi with the strings firmly in his
hand. |