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Transnational companies have become
an important feature of most economies in the world today.
Typical of the impact of globalization is the fact that
transnational companies alone account for an added value
of about a tenth of the world’s gross domestic product.
They had a share of 5 per cent in 1982. The data provided
by the World Investment Report 2003, issued by the
United Nations conference on trade and development recently,
show that transnational corporations — numbering around
64,000 in various countries and operating about 870,000
foreign affiliates — have become an important fixture on
the global landscape. They employed an estimated 53 million
workers in 2002, an increase from 20 million in 1982. The
stock of foreign direct investment belonging to transnational
corporations generated a total sales of nearly $18 trillion,
more than double the world’s exports. The network of foreign
affiliate companies accounted for more than one-third of
the world’s exports. FDI is, therefore, an inescapable attribute
of the world economy.
Critics of globalization need
to note that the FDI is also not only from rich countries
to rich countries. The developed world, such as the United
States of America, United Kingdom, European Union, is itself
holding two-thirds of the world’s inward FDI stock. What
is more interesting is that the EU has nearly $ 3 trillion
outward stock of FDI compared to half of the US. The myth
of dominance of the US amongst transnational companies has
to be taken with a pinch of salt.
In recent decades, the developing
countries have also increasingly come to depend on FDI in
comparison with other forms of capital inflows. The FDI
stock for developing countries on an average accounts for
nearly a third of GDP. The dependence of developed countries
is, however, less in as much as the ratio of FDI stocks
to GDP for developed countries is only 19 per cent. The
growth of FDI in the last decade is seen from the fact that
the stock of FDI has increased from 13 per cent in respect
of developing countries to nearly 33 per cent in the period.
In respect of developed countries also, the increase is
from 5 per cent to 19 per cent.
The inward direct investment as
a percentage of GDP varied widely among various countries.
As of 2002, the US had a FDI stock of nearly 12.9 per cent,
UK 40.8 per cent, Germany 22.7 per cent, France 28.2 per
cent and Canada 30.4 per cent. Amongst developing countries,
Brazil had a FDI stock of 52.1 per cent in relation to GDP
and China had a stock of nearly 36.2 per cent. India stands
low with a ratio of 5.1 per cent. Admittedly, the ratio
of FDI to GDP is not by itself a clear determinant of economic
growth. That Brazil has a high ratio of FDI to GDP has not
made for robust and steady growth. India with 5.1 per cent
has not fared too badly in terms of growth compared to countries
with a much higher ratio. Critics of globalization have
a point in their favour when they stress that high FDI amounts
to shifting the location of decision-making outside the
countries. The fascination for FDI is justified by the impetus
to growth that it has conferred on countries, like China,
the US and UK.
China has proved to be the most
powerful magnet for FDI in recent times. In 2002, China
attracted FDI of $53 billion, which was far in excess of
$30 billion, which poured into the US. Chinese economic
growth is partly the result as also the cause of the high
FDI.
The World Investment Report
2003 makes a specific reference to the difference between
China and India in regard to FDI flows. In its view, China’s
high FDI reflects its better infrastructure as also a more
pragmatic approach to foreign investment compared to India’s.
China opened its borders to foreign investment earlier than
India. FDI flows to China increased from $3.5 billion in
1990 to nearly $53 billion in 2002, whereas FDI flows to
India were a lowly 0.4 billion in 1990 before the onset
of liberalization.
What is more significant is that
FDI flows into China have contributed to the rapid increase
of China’s merchandise exports at an annual rate of 15 per
cent between 1989 and 2001. In 1990, foreign affiliates
accounted for less than 9 per cent of China’s total merchandise
exports, while in 2002, they accounted for nearly half.
In exports from hi-tech industries, foreign transnational
companies of China contributed much more: 91 per cent in
electronic circuits and 96 per cent in mobile telephones.
FDI in Indian manufacturing has
been mostly confined to “seeking” the domestic market. Even
today, FDI accounts for only 10 per cent of India’s manufacturing
exports. This reflects different emphases on the strategic
approach to FDI in India and China. It may be significant
that China has opened its retail markets to multinational
organizations, such as Wal-Mart. The FDI advocates in India
feel we also should follow suit.
Among the major contributory factors
for higher FDI in China are the presence of educated labour
and better labour conditions. China has also well-developed
natural resources. The emphasis of Chinese authorities on
developing physical infrastructure over the years, particularly
in respect of power, transport and ports, has led to more
propitious conditions for export manufacturers and hence
FDI.
The rapid economic growth in China,
both in rural and urban areas, has also increased domestic
demands for consumer goods. The World Investment Report
2003 notes that China in comparison to India has demonstrated
a more business-oriented attitude to FDI, making its procedures
easier and taking quick decisions. China has more flexible
labour laws, a better labour climate and easier entry and
exit procedures. These have all ultimately contributed to
China’s attracting substantial FDI.
China has the advantage of an
earlier start in regard to attracting FDI flows. It happened
to open its doors to FDI at a time India was closing its
doors. India started tightening regulations on entry of
foreign investment just 30 years ago. In the late Seventies,
it also dramatically threw out IBM and Coca-Cola. But China
took a leap forward from communism to an open-door policy
for FDI.
We must recognize that the Chinese
economic strategy has been holistic. It is not confined
only to a pragmatic approach to FDI. China’s national policies
have also been growth-oriented. Wherever FDI helped this
cause, it was encouraged. China delegates its powers of
approval of FDI to local organs, such as townships and provincial
governments, while India concentrates authority at the Centre.
China’s capacity to take speedy decisions is also reflected
in its sharp turnaround of strategy from an ideology-based
“closure” of all avenues to foreign investment to opening
the doors with emphasis on national priorities.
One instance of the Chinese approach
to FDI is the Boeing story. In the early Nineties, China
offered to buy a large number of Boeing jets. China has
now become the outsourcing centre for Boeing’s manufacture
of its plane. Boeing exports jet plane parts and jet planes
from China to the rest of the world. Transfer of technology
came hand in hand with huge investments in response to a
skilful procurement decision.
Similarly, China negotiated with
IBM to set up a plant in the country. It is not for nothing
that the eminent Indian economist, K.N. Raj, is stated to
have remarked in 1985: “It is certainly not without good
reason that China has chosen to be hospitable even to markets
with worldwide ramifications, like IBM, evidently in the
expectation of securing the know-how for building up a semi-conductor
industry of its own. Those who do not realize the implications
of all this for India are living in a dream world.” These
comments show that blind opposition to FDI does not pay,
while a constructive approach to FDI can help the national
objective of growth with equity.
FDI flows into India have slowly
risen to $5.1 billion in 2002 from a low of $379,000 in
1990. During the same period, China showed an increase from
$3.4 billion to $52.7 billion. The share of foreign affiliates
has also increased substantially in China compared to India.
FDI is attracted by many factors.
India has to take a conscious step towards making the country
an attractive destination for FDI through clear policies
on infrastructure, human development and incentives and
implementation of these.
The World Investment Report
2003 provides a picture of the incentives offered by
different countries to attract FDI. These countries keep
their national perspectives in mind when dealing with transnational
companies. The success of FDI policies lies in such a fine
balancing act. Let us hope that in the increasing pragmatism
shown by the Indian government, there will be a greater
attention to attracting FDI.
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